Other 08 Mar 2020

biohack your healthspan with nutrigenomics

Biohack your healthspan.When Big Pharma told an entire industry to zig, we zagged. Now we’re using a groundbreaking new science called Nutrigenomics to help people biohack a healthier life. By studying the effects of nutrients and natural compounds on our genes, we’re creating scientifically-backed products that support cognitive health and promote healthy aging on the cellular level.Our Nutrigenomic products support the body’s natural cellular function by targeting the main biochemical effects of aging, issues like oxidative stress, natural mitochondrial deterioration and more. By awakening your body’s ability to rejuvenate itself on a massive scale — whether by up-regulating your genes’ ability to produce their own antioxidants, your cells‘ ability to produce mitochondria, or your guts’ ability to regulate bacteria — we’re helping you stay on top of the aging process while delivering the mental clarity and overall well-being you need every day to get the absolute most out of life.This isn’t a future breakthrough — we have proof it’s happening now.A recent study conducted by the Intervention Testing Program funded by the National Institute on Aging* discovered that Protandim® extended the median lifespan of male mice by 7%. It’s also been shown to reduce oxidative stress in humans by 40% in 30 days. We’re changing the view on aging. Looking for evidence? So are we — and we’ve got mounds of it.As scientists, so are we — and we’ve got mounds of it. When your products work, the scientific community takes notice and comes to their own conclusions. Our products are tested in peer-reviewed published studies from laboratories across the nation.Independently Researched at:Harvard UniversityOhio State UniversityLouisiana State UniversityUniversity of Colorado Denver Read more about biohacking and to see products that can help you:https://renevandeschraaf.lifevantage.com/us-en/biohack René van de Schraaf - Independent distributor for LifeVantage

Other 27 Feb 2020

tesoro nero & saving the bees

When I was younger, I remember how excited I'd be at my first sight of a big fat bumblebee each spring, humming across my primary school's field, floating like a striped ball of fuzz from flower to nectar-rich flower. I remember the purple lavander in our back garden flourishing with life, enriching the air with its familiar perfume. Bees swarmed about its fragrant blossom in multitudes, and I would sit and watch them with a glass of orange juice in my hand for what could have easily been hours, delighting in the end of winter.  But now, years later, things are different. I no longer see the bees drifting between flowers, settling on petals and sipping nectar. It is very rare that I see a black and yellow form hovering beside the lilac lavander, humming contentedly as it works. Now, if I see bees, I see them lethargic, crawling, and unable to fly; or I see them dead. It is strange to think that it has only taken a short period of time for the bees to become so seriously threatened. It makes me wonder how much longer they have left on this planet before they are all gone for good. But what is causing such a rapid decline in the bee population? I did some research and found several reasons for this. It has opened my eyes to the threats that bees are facing right now, and the situation is even more urgent than I had previously realised. Intensive farming is the largest cause of bee decline, heightened by the increased use of harmful pesticides, such as neonicotinoids, which are having disastrous effects on wild bees. Used to kill pests, they are inevitably killing beneficial pollinators like bees along with them. When a bee feeds from a flower containing pesticides, it disturbs their central nervous system, affecting their ability to carry out essential tasks such as feeding, homing, reproducing, and foraging. Bees and other pollinators need enough flowers to forage, and safe places in which to nest among vegetation, soil, and hedges. But, since WWII, we have lost 97% of our wildflower meadows, and this leaves bees with very little natural habitat in which to thrive. Climate change plays an enormous role in disrupting the bees' natural behaviour, in terms of their foraging habits, their emergence after winter, nesting, and, the flowering of the plants from which they feed. Plus, invasive species, such as the Asian Hornet, could devastate British species if left to take hold.  In the UK, we have already lost around 13 species of bee, and another 35 are currently at risk of extinction. Losing bees would severely impact our planet, and cost farmers £1.8 billion to pollinate their crops without the help of pollinators. These little insects, although small, are incredibly significant. If we were unfortunate enough to lose them for good, our world and our lives would be much less rich and vibrant. Imagine our planet with only a fraction of the colour and diversity we have today. Our food will become tasteless, our diets will become dull, and our landscapes will become colourless. Costs will rise as farmers will have to pollinate their own crops without the help of bees. If we continue to undermine the importance of bees and the role they play on our planet, then there is every chance that we will lose them forever. It is only when they are gone for good that we will regret having done nothing.  At Tesoro Nero, we support the charities and conservations that dedicate their time to helping these humble honey-makers. We have designed a 24K gold piano with a hexagonal texture to mimic the lustrous shine and structure of honeycomb. With every purchase of our piano, a considerable sum of the profits will be donated to leading bee conservation charities. We will not stand aside and let the bees die out. Right now, they need us almost as much as we need them. There is so much we can do to help, so why not start here?

Body & Mind 24 Feb 2020

the war cancer vs. álvaro

ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 18 Dec '19   Credits: 3Dear my Miljonet contacts. Please let me apologize for not having been active on Miljonet webpage since long time ago. Three years ago I was diagnosed a very agressive cancer and I am still busy fighting this survival war. My life expectation is, as per my doctor, "a matter of months or years". Despite doctor´s news are not good, I am proud that mentally the cancer didn´t beat me a single day in three years. Two things inspired me: 1. The Spanish song 'Resistiré' ('I will resist' by the Spanish Dúo Dinámico), i.e. the equivalent to 'I will survive' by Gloria Gaynor, both used in anticancer musictherapy. 2. A scene from the film 'Gladiator'  (please see the attached Youtube link). I'd appreciate your Comments if any. Kind regards, Álvaro Galcerán, alias 'Gladiator'. ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 18 Dec '19   Credits: 2[Film] 'Gladiator': [Scene] 'Battle at the Colosseum': Youtube link. [Please click on 'Gladiator' picture above to see this inspiring video scene] RENÉ VAN DE SCHRAAF, Public Wall, 18 Dec '19   Credits: 2Thank you for your message Álvaro. What a sad news. Still, I admire your fighting spirit and wish you all the best and strength in this battle. DIANNA YAKOBSON, Public Wall, 18 Dec '19   Credits: 1I wish you take all precious moment in your life, stay strong and weak when need it. Hugs! ROY-M. MARTENS, Public Wall, 20 Dec '19   Credits: 2Dear Álvaro, there are hardly good words, but let it be known that we are with you in spirit. And miracles do happen. ANNE VON ECHLIN, Public Wall, 20 Dec '19  Credits: 3Yes, miracles do happen indeed; a Norwegian guy who was diagnozed with terminal cancer, decided to quit it all, and moved out to a remote cabin in the deep forest in order to spend his last time there. But as the days, weeks and months passed on, nothing happened. Unexpectantly he did not get worse, actually on the contrary. Gradualy he started to be outdoors in the fresh air, working with wood cut and other practical stuff, joined with the quiet ambience of the simply cabin, fire on the oven, and deep sleep. When he returned to his doctor in the city after several months in the forest, no medical signs of the cancer and malign growth could be found anymore! It was gone!! - 'I think I have found a good cure for cancer!' he later commented and these days he is well an normal again. RAMÓN LUITWIELER, Public Wall, 21 Dec '19   Credits: 2Dear Álvaro, what a sad news! Stay strong!! It is good to see your positive mindset! Keep the faith and welcome back on Miljonet. ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 21 Dec '19   Credits: 4Dear René, Dianna, Roy-M., Anne and Ramón,Thank you very much for your Comments, that give me hope and positive energy. I´ll tell you something rather personal. I defined my vocation wihen I was 12 years old. My slogan was 'to give me life to others '; and my target (now that the current Pope promotes this I reveal this secret): to become a Saint (i.e. San Álvaro de Bellera though the title is not important). So, in a society without values I am trying to reach the most elevated one. As my life progressed I have suffered very tough situations, overcame them and then helped others to overcome similar ones more easily, specifically unemployed, separated/divorced, mentally disordered people and what my Lord puts in my path, which now is cancer patients. What is the key is that before the risky radical surgical operation, in a 1 hour confession with the most intelligent and strict jesuit i ever met, and after reviewing all my life, he told me that I reached already 90% of my vocation target, told me what else to do and I am doing it. Can you imagine? I almost entirely achieved my sense of life , so I fill now simply fulfilled and happy. My way to help cancer patients is the following. I am Finance professional and amateur musician, belonging to the guitars duo 'A&A' (Alberto & Álvaro) (we already recorded in radio and TV channels). So, we have given already 4 anticancer concerts ( both public and private) called "Words and songs". With the words i tell my cancer experience discovering the positive side of the cancer, and illustrate each key idea with a song. The attendants cancer patients exit the concert renovated and motivated to fight, which is how I can help them. One of these positive sides of cancer is what I call the 'Just in case' approach. For example right now, given my life expectation is a 'matter of months or years', just in case these were my last Christmas I have planned a Christmas agenda with plenty of lunches, dinners, parties, concerts, etc. so looks like one of the best ones in my life. Now I am preparing a big anticancer concert in a hospital with 100 people both patients and public with the same idea of 'Words and songs' with my motovating testimony. I feel happier than before the cancer. What do you think about all these? I'd appreciate very much your Comments. Thanks for your patient reading a long text. DIANNA YAKOBSON, Public Wall, 21 Dec '19    Credits: 1Good thoughts, Álvaro! ROY-M. MARTENS, Public Wall, 23 Dec '19   Credits: 2Wonderful, and your gr8 mindset has a major influence. Anne's story is an important reminder and you might be aware of Dr. Joe Dispenza, I can personally/highly recommend his book 'You are the Placebo'. Can we listen to your music somewhere on the net? All the best from me and certainly everyone else here! RENÉ VAN DE SCHRAAF, Public Wall, 23 Dec '19   Credits: 2Thank you for sharing your story Álvaro. Again, it is wonderful to see you help so many others in their struggles! I am sure you will experience many other Christmases. I wish you all the best. ROY-M. MARTENS, Public Wall, 23 Dec '19   Credits:1Btw: The huge gladiator on Russel Crowe's left is an old friend of mine :-) ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 10 Feb '20   Credits: 1CANCER 3 - 1 ÁLVARO: I am football player for +50 years and I never gave up a single ball. Last week was key for me. On one side, I had the most important job interview in my life, which I had prepared for three weeks. On the other, I had the most important doctors' review on cancer for last three years, being the expectations bad or very bad news. The conventional cancer therapies are failing in my case. After three years war, I am again like the first day, i.e. there is a new focus of cancer which is still hidden and is creating consistently extremely bad PSA numbers (the key measure). The bad news would have been that I have to pass experimental risky therapies like immunotherapy, which consists on an injection that makes 9 out 10 patients survive and some of them get rid of cancer, while the balance patient simply dies. A 10% chance of dying is not huge but is relevant enough to pray and pray. The very bad news were that I am not elegible for immunotherapy because it is not compatible with the chemotherapy that I aready passed. So, failing the conventional treatments and not being feasible the experimental one, the next choice is natural treatments (plants like curcumine, ginger, etc). The doctor has forbidden me to follow natural therapies because of their negative impact on liver metabolism. So, the third choice is simply pray, pray and pray. However, and after of long and detailed information, the doctors' words when I asked how was the overall situation, he surprisingly said 'between mid-point and good', kind of 55% out of 100%. These are the first positive words I heard from any of the ca. 12 doctors that are treating me in parallel, for the last three years. So, I consider this the first goal I have scored against cancer. In other football words, THE COME BACK HAS STARTED. Furthermore, the day before the doctors' revision, i.o. worrying, I enjoyed preparing a concert about James Taylor (songs like "You've got a friend') JUST IN CASE it was my last one before the injection, and I enjoied it a lot. What do you think? ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 11 Feb '20    Credits: 1Dear Roy-M., Answering your question: No, you cannot yet hear my music on YouTube or other internet channels. But I can send to your private e-mail address a video with the trial #1 or the trial #2 of the 2020 Christmas Charity Anticancer Concert that I am organizing (expected ca. 100 attendants, half of them patients and may be even recorded on a national TV channel, titled 'Words and songs' and performed by 'Álvaro & Friends'. Would you please send me your private e-mail address? Mine is alvaro.galcerandebellera@gmail.com . ÁLVARO GALCERÁN, Public Wall, 13 Feb '20   Credits: 2Dear Roy-M., Regarding your question about listening my anticancer music, I am planning in our trial #2 to include an introduction words in English with the key ideas (the rest of words about the positive sides of the cancer are in Spanish which is not admitted by Miljonet), while the songs are in English (mainly), Spanigh and Portuguese. I´ve just asked authorization fro Raoul and Ramón to share on Miljonet Club Pubic Wall the video of our trial #2 (by end of February 2020) including the English introduction besides the Spanis words. I´ll let you know if there is a chance to listen to the video in this approach. Thanks for your will anyway. Kind regards, Álvaro DIANNA YAKOBSON, Public Wall, 13 Feb '20   Credits: 1We´ll get through this together with you Álvaro. You´re not facing cancer alone. You are strong. You can do this. Never, never ,never give up. I am praying for you and we love you ! ANNE VON ECHLIN, Public Wall, 14 Feb '20   Credits: 2'The holy Spirit needs no doctor'. Dear Álvaro, do focus and rely on yourself, your Spirit, which live in your body. In Hebrew, Scandinavian and Russian language Spirit = Breath, the same word, the person who lives in the physical body. It is your physical body which is attacked, but not your Spirit! -  do take one day at a time, and do whatever gives Happiness to your Spirit, jus small daily beautiful things and pleasures, and give a damn about everything else. It will strengthen you, this is my firm belief! And this sterngth might combat the attack on your body, like it did with the guy in the forest in Norway! With best wishes, Anne. RENÉ VAN DE SCHRAAF, Public Wall, 16 Feb '20   Credits: 2Hello Álvaro. A positive mind will bring more result. Positive words from the doctor must give hope and I detect a positive thought with you and that is good. So keep up this positive spirit and I am sure you wil win this fight. ÁLVARO GALCERÁN. Public Wall, 3 Mar '20 Dear my Miljonet Contacts, I have transfered the entire content of this Public Wall chat about my cancer into my new blog (please see Miljonet Magazine Blogs Body & Mind) titled 'The War Cancer Vs, Álvaro' including my long paragraphs, all your very welcome and helpful Comments and the inspiring video with the scene from 'Gladiator' film. I would very much appreciate that you please check my Blog from time to time and provide Comments. Kind regards, Álvaro alias 'Gladiator'

Other 29 Jan 2020

gg/galvanogroup members services & benefits teaser

GG/GALVANO GROUP Is Improving Daily To Serve YOU Better With Top Standards & Dedication.Your Global Butler In Your Pocket!Join the Club: www.galvanogroup.com20%-Discount For Miljonet Members!

Fashion & Design 12 Jan 2020

new york fashion week fall 2020

You've seen the runways of Milan, Paris and London and the world has experienced the energy of New York Fashion Week. But here we are in 2020 and the fashion industry is ready for change. Bucceri International has recognized the need to amp up NYFW by creating a fresh new concept by implementing the ambience, expectations and overall goals of designers, models, investors and off course the audience, all of which appreciating haute couture at it's finest.The Bucceri International NYFW, will take place in September 2020 with already a handful of respected designers from Europe confirmed to have their designs worn by high profile agency picked models along with numerous other designers from around the globe who have also secured their place at the event. This also opens up many an opportunity for International corporations, brands to partner with the BUCCERI INTERNATIONAL NYFW. Because this is on the upper echelon of fashion, many facets of luxury have been implemented including the sponsorship packages that gaurantees only the best are included in the event itself that come with inclusions on all marketing (social & digital media), Press Release (International) confirming partnership, advertising opportunities, access to media on the red carpet and more. To see and learn more, visit the website at: http://www.bucceriintlnyfw.comAll inquiries & requests for the Presentation Deck can also be sent directly to: donna@oleanderpr.com Subject BUCCERI NYFW

Art & Culture 10 Jan 2020

"the plastic heart" sculpture by charlotte olsson

This heart is entirely sculptured of recycled materials found in the Ocean. Gothenburg-based artist Charlotte Olsson’s purpose with this almost four meter high sculpture is to draw attention to the significant environmental problems in the Ocean. Sir Richard Branson, Sarah Ferguson The Duchess of York, Dr Sylvia Earle, Leif Pagrotsky, Ola Skinnarmo, Johan Elmander, Agneta Sjödin, Mikkey Dee, Team Anna, Lasse Gustavsson, Världens Vackraste Skärgård, etc has all helped Charlotte collecting the plastic waste.“The Ocean is our biggest source of life and for me the greatest source of inspiration. The fact that the Ocean soon contains more plastic than fish makes me terrified! Almost half  the oxygen we breathe is produced in the Ocean. Is this what we want to pass on to future generations?”Charlotte has shown her unique upcycling-art all around Europe and she is one of the very few Swedes who have exhibited her art at The European Council of Human Rights in Strasbourg. This particular art project is a collaboration with The Perfect World Foundation and the profit will contribute to their important work – Save the Ocean!

Other 07 Jan 2020

the language of music

Our world is rich, vibrant, and full of diversity, and our world of music is no different. There are musical instruments out there that reveal to us so much of the world that we didn't even know existed. They embody entire cultures, people and their beliefs, echo thoughts, feelings, and dreams, and re-tell age-old stories over and over again. Like living entities, they play the messengers to our thoughts and emotions. Whatever language we speak, the language of music can be understood by all.Around the world, there are instruments we all know and cherish, from pianos to guitars, violins to saxophones. Yet, there are other instruments out there that are a little less known to us than the ones we are used to.They are ancient instruments that have existed and evolved for over hundreds of years. While some of these remarkable instruments have successfully stood the test of time, sadly, not all have been able to claim a place in the modern world as securely as they once did.But music itself is timeless. A thousand years from now, our world will have evolved, and the language of music will have evolved with it. While some instruments may continue to fade away until they become little more than exhibits in a museum, silent behind glass, others can become just as popular as ever, adapting to the ever-changing language and creating something new that has never been heard before. In China, the guqin is an ancient string instrument created thousands of years ago, but is still played today to create beautiful, dream-like music unlike any instrument heard before. Famous Chinese philosopher, Confucius, adored this exquisite instrument, and even played one himself. The guqin has many qualities, believed to enrich character, enhance lives, improve learning, and communicate and pray to gods and demons. During the Ming Dysnasty, between 1368 and 1644, it was believed that the right time to play the guqin was outside in a mountain environment, in a garden or small pavilion, near an old pine tree or on a tranquil moonlit night, while the air was delicately perfumed with incense. This graceful instrument has played a vital role in Chinese history and music, and will hopefully continue to do so for many more centuries to come.  The sarangi is another stringed instrument, and its origins come from the Indian subcontinent. Used in Hindustani classical music, it is said to be the instrument that most resembles the human voice out of all the instruments in the world. Because of this, most distinguished Indian vocalists learned how to play the sarangi. Sadly, in the latter half of the 19th century, the harmonium and the violin emerged, and, with them being ultimately easier instruments to play, the sarangi and the sarangi player slowly began to fade away. The playing strings of this instrument are made from gut, the usual material being goat intestines. The unique voice of this remarkable instrument embodies the vibrant beauty of India and its people; and while it may not be as popular as it once was, those who do continue to play the sarangi keep its memory alive for as long as its voice continues to be heard. In Africa, musical instruments can be used to communicate with both man and spirit. Some may be used for religious and ceremonial occasions, while others can be simply for entertainment. These instruments all range in shape, size, and complexity, many made from natural materials using age-old methods. Percussion plays a vital role in African music. The shekere is a drum made from dried and hollowed out gourd, covered with a net that has beads or shells on it, so when the drum is beaten, the beads hit the surface and make a sound. There is the djembe, a goblet-shaped drum, which has the ability to make different sounds when beaten, and is played strictly by hand. The balafon is an instrument similar to the xylophone, made from wood, gourds, and vines. In some African cultures, the balafon has ceremonial significance related to funerals, grief, and mourning. Music is an incredible way to break barriers, build bridges, communicate and connect. As a messenger it will never become extinct. It will continue to evolve and adapt as we do. And nowhere else in the world is this more apparent than in Africa.  The nyckelharpa, as a traditional Swedish fiddle, is a close relative of the hurdy gurdy. A four-stringed instrument played with a bow, the nyckelharpa is probably the most well-known and adored instrument in Swedish folklore. It dates back from the Middle-Ages, and has evolved for more than 600 years. The nyckelharpa almost became extinct in the early 1900s, but in the 1960s and 70s, this beautiful instrument made a phenomenal come-back. There are now at least 4 variations of the instrument today, which is something of a rarity for folk instruments. It creates an eerie but enchanting sound, somewhat resembling the violin in both music and appearance. The nyckelharpa brings Scandinavian folklore to life with its hauntingly beautiful voice, leading ancient ghosts into the modern world. More well-known worldwide, the didgeridoo is a wind instrument made from hollowed out wood. It is believed that the first didgeridoos were played by aboriginal people in northern Australia an estimated 40,000 years ago, and that they used eucalyptus branches that had been naturally hollowed out by termites. However, archaelogical research suggests that the didgeridoo is only about 1500 years old. This is due to the absence of cave paintings depicting humans playing the didgeridoo earlier than 1500 years ago. Despite its age, Western society has only recently become acquainted with the didgeridoo. In 1835, 47 years after the Europeans colonised Australia, the first written account of the didgeridoo was published, where it was described as a trumpet. Modern didgeridoos are made from eucalyptus, bamboo, and agave. It is both a pitched instrument and a percussive instrument, used in many world music applications such as beatboxing, dance, and meditation. With its raw and guttural voice, the didgeridoo embodies the fierce Australian wilderness, and represents the ancient spirits of the people who played this same fascinating instrument almost two thousand years ago. Sometimes the most captivating instruments are the least obvious to us. We appreciate the beauty of music no matter who we are or where we live. Whatever language we speak, we can all understand music and the intricate messages that each and every note presents to us. Thousands of years ago, we used music to convey stories, thoughts, dreams, and emotions. Today, in our modern world, this has not changed. For how much longer will humankind continue to listen to and speak the language of music? Will it ever be silenced?Judging by its incredible ability to adapt, music could never be silenced. It is as significant to our world today as it was several centuries ago. But now, more people have greater access to a huge variety of instruments. There is so much more to discover, so much more to learn. The language music speaks is ageless. We have time. 

Other 10 Dec 2019

tesoro nero & wild cats

Two Worlds IntertwinedOur world is made up of the most beautiful and resilient creatures that affect our lives more than we could ever understand. Among them are the wild cats. Not only do they inhabit the mountains, the savannahs, the jungles, and the rainforests, but these remarkable animals have occupied a special place in our hearts for several lifetimes. Wild cats possess a fierce majesty, free and untamed, an almost mythical allure within the vast expanse of our imaginations. So rarely do our physical worlds intertwine; most of us will walk through life without once capturing a single, wild glimpse of one of these amazing creatures. Our lives are so very different, yet, we encounter these animals every day more than we even know. They have fuelled our imaginations for centuries. They have been anthropomorphised, given human gait and speech. They have been venerated for their beauty and the mystery that surrounds them. They have made regular appearances in our various cultures, in stories with which we have grown up and cherished throughout our lives. Bagheera and Shere Khan from The Jungle Book, Aslan from Narnia, The Lion King and The Pink Panther - just a few examples of how these remarkable cats have ignited our imaginations. The Circle of LifeWe have all seen the film The Lion King, and we all know the famously uttered line, 'the circle of life'. This is more than just a well-known maxim - it is the foundation of how we all live, from lion prides in Africa, solitary snow leopards in India, and ourselves and our families at home.Wild cats help to maintain a balanced eco-system, ensuring that one species does not overpopulate and disrupt the natural equilibrium. By targeting the diseased, weak, and elderly prey when out hunting, these wild cats ensure that only the healthiest reproduce. It is Nature's way of ensuring that 'the circle of life' is upheld.Wild Cats in DangerThe future of these wild cats is severely threatened. With the loss and fragmentation of their habitat, they struggle to find food, mates, and a safe territory. Their prey is overhunted, leaving them unable to hunt successfully for themselves and for their cubs. Conflict with local people over real and perceived threat posed to livestock means that wild cats are slaughtered. They are illegally poached for trophies, their skin, meat, and parts of their body for use in traditional medicine. Due to so many dangers posed to their survival, these incredible animals need our help. And what will happen if they disappear forever? All we'll have left of these cats will be in our stories, nothing more than ink on a page or millions of tiny pixels on a screen. We will be left with myths, with wraiths of memories, with the bitter knowledge that we could have always done something, but we chose to do nothing instead. We will have to explain to our children why we allowed these animals to be forgotten, and they will hate us for it.Tesoro Nero & PantheraSo how are we helping to protect these magnificant animals when they are at their most vulnerable? Tesoro Nero has created a piano to reflect the beauty of one of Nature's rarest creatures. With every purchase of one of our panther pianos, we will donate a considerable sum of our profits to Panthera, a trusted organisation dedicated to saving the threatened future of wild cats everywhere.Panthera conducts significant research, identifying and protecting these wild cats and their habitats, monitoring their populations as well as the population of their prey. They collect critical ecological data and enhance law enforcement, ensuring a healthy and sustained ecosystem is kept in place. Using cutting-edge technology, they can prevent poaching and protect these animals from being needlessly slaughtered. By purchasing our panther piano, you will be helping Panthera carry out all of this incredible research, and helping to save these beautiful wild cats who desperately need our help.We Refuse to ForgetWe refuse to forget about the wild cats and to simply let them fade away into dust, to disappear into the furthest crevices of our minds only to be lost forever. We refuse to forget about our connections with Nature, and of everything that makes us human. It is our duty to protect the creatures with whom we share our earth. We refuse to forget how important these wild cats are, and how they have shaped us as a species. If we lose them, then we lose a part of ourselves forever. 

Other 25 Nov 2019

origins of the piano

The modern piano has undergone a great evolutionary journey throughout the centuries. From around 1600, the harpsichord was one of the leading instruments of the era. It resembled the piano with its appearance, and its system of strings and soundboard. But the harpsichord had its restrictions - it did not give the player freedom to control the instrument's volume, to play notes loud or soft. It was Bartolomeo Cristofori of Italy who, in around the year 1700, set out to create an instrument with which a player would have more control. He invented the piano by replacing the harpsichord's plucking mechanism with a hammer. The first piano started out with only 54 keys, but this number gradually increased over the centuries until it finally reached the standard 88 keys following the First World War. Pianos were mostly limited to the aristocracy, until the French Revolution occurred in 1789. Subsequently, they became more popular with the general public, and demands for these instruments increased. Music that had also been previously appreciated by aristocrats in their exclusive courts was now being performed in large concert halls that seated up to 2,000 people. This created a greater demand for instruments that had a louder sound and carried further.Many famous composers fell in love with the piano and its music, composing stunning masterpieces and performing in public concerts. The piano has been a part of our lives from the beginning, and our love for it has only continued to grow. From grand concert halls to the privacy and comfort of one's own home, the piano belongs to everyone. It was created to be without limits. It became an instrument to be beheld and enjoyed by all. There was no barrier between rich and poor, amateur and professional. People from all walks of life were united by music. The piano is an expressive instrument, almost alive, with every single note it breathes.Rich with soul and feeling, the piano captivates us all. Even today, in our fast-paced, modern world, we can still find the time to slow down, sit back, and appreciate its rich and vibrant music. There are so many ways we can now enjoy our music, but nothing is quite so powerful as the melody of the piano. It can be poignant and full of sadness, soft and dreamy, sharp and intense, joyful and uplifting. Like a living creature, the piano possesses soul. It owns laughter, it owns heartbreak. Every string murmurs with feeling, tearing down unbreakable barriers, and we reveal a side of ourselves to others in a way we were unable to before.Strengthened by the piano's exquisite voice, it heals us, whatever our emotions, our hardships, our fragility. There is very little out there that can move us the same way a piano can. It will never be antiquated, a timeworn fossil. It has influenced us for many lifetimes, and it will continue to influence us for many more lifetimes to come. 

Other 19 Nov 2019

the songs of nature

'Music gives a soul to the universe, wings to the mind, flight to the imagination, and life to everything' - PlatoFor thousands of years, we have cherished the soul of music. It is more than just sound in the air, more than just ink on paper. We use it to mirror our thoughts, bring to life complex emotions that can otherwise be lost in translation. Ancient armies used music to rally their soldiers into a fierce and fiery passion, to strike terror into the hearts of their enemies. We have always used music to tell stories, to manipulate the heartstrings of listeners with the ease of a puppeteer manipulating the strings of a marionette. Music gives us the power to speak without words. Even somewhere devoid of all human influence, there is rarely silence. Deep within the gloomiest rainforests, a choir waits, silent, concealed by the leaves and shadows. Its audience, unseen, but out there somewhere. Throats swell, songs rise, and a cacophony of voices suddenly engulfs the silence of the trees. The male frogs serenade their invisible females, coax them out of the darkness like a love-struck Romeo serenading Juliet beneath her ivy-clad balcony. And in the darkness, within the shadows of the sickle moon, a lone wolf raises his head and sings at the stars, fills the sky with the echoes of his haunted voice. He is a ghost, mourning his solitude, and his song is a lonely one. It carries further than he will ever wander.Songbirds warble joyfully in the trees, and even the caged canary must sing to keep his soul alive. We cherish the lark for her beautiful lovelorn ballads, the hooting owl for his soothing lullabies. We are captivated by the songs of Nature. We have listened to them, learned from them, taken from them something that is primitive and raw, and transformed them into entirely new creatures. There are many voices, each one demanding to be heard. Music has existed longer than we have. We do not possess it, nor do we claim to. We merely embrace it, allow it to embrace us, to nourish our fettered emotions, and to set them free.

Business 25 Oct 2019

africa trade & investment global summit, (atigs)

Africa Trade & Investment Global Summit, (ATIGS) is a unique high-level, prestigious, biennial business platform designed specifically to promote and facilitate international trade and foreign direct investment in Africa. It is the leading Africa-global centric event in the world. The highly anticipated 2020 edition of Africa Trade & Investment Global Summit will be held on October 28 & 29, 2020 in Dubai, UAE during the World Expo. ATIGS Dubai 2020 is theme "Connecting Global Capital with Africa Investment and Trade Opportunities" with a sub-theme "Better Africa, Better World"  ATIGS Dubai 2020 will welcome a delegation of ministers, governors, business executives, and global investors to facilitate deal making, co-investments, strategic partnerships, and business networking all under one roof. Last year, the premier ATIGS USA 2018 was held on June 24-26 in Washington DC at the Ronald Reagan Building and World Trade Center. The Summit attracted 2,300 delegates from 92 countries, and 186 Accredited Investor groups, a great success for the hosting country, sponsors and the participants.  

Business 09 Sep 2019

ybbrio holding uk

Since 2018, YBBRIO UK has been helping ordinary people achieve their financial independence.We are not a bank, nor a broker. We are a financial services, investment fund, venture capital and development and financial collateral leasing management company in accordance with UK law, registered company number: 11711995.• Activities of financial services holding companies (64205)• Activities of investment trusts (64301)• Activities of venture and capital development (64303)• Financial leasing (64910)

Gadgets & Trends 20 Jun 2019

watches available

Dear All,I have access to watches direct from manufacturers.Please let me know if there is interest,Many thanks,Timi 

Other 19 Jun 2019

luxury showcase london, 18th july

Dear All,There is a luxury brands showcase in London on the 18th July  at the The Lalit Hotel. Confirmed invitations to over 150 UHNWI.If you would like further info please send me an email to timi@4s-events.com,Many thanks,Timi  

Fashion & Design 10 Jun 2019

rolex day-date 36 vs porsche 2019 ;p

https://www.relojeriaalemana.com/es/brand_details/25/Rolex?cmpid=cpc_pfx_66_11562https://www.porsche-baleares.com/One of the things I love the most about my job is to research for personal shopping.Well, it actually is to go later with my beloved VIP super selected clients and take them shopping to those previously selected places. Just a few weeks ago I had to research some watches and cars.Are you more of a watch kinda man? Or a car kinda guy?    

Cars, Boats & Planes 31 May 2019

a princely debut for top marques supercar show

A PRINCELY DEBUT FOR TOP MARQUES SUPERCAR SHOWThe 16th Edition of Top Marques supercar show opened under brilliant blue skies in Monaco today at the Grimaldi Forum.H.S.H. Prince Albert II of Monaco joined Salim Zeghdar, the newly appointed CEO of the show, along with ambassadors Thierry Boutsen, Eddie Jordan and David Couthard. Mr Zeghdar said: "I would like to sincerely thank H.S.H. Prince Albert II for his presence this morning, as well as our three ambassadors. I am very touched by their support of Top Marques, and I am genuinely delighted by this first day. There is a wonderful atmosphere and I have heard such positive feedback, especially from the exhibitors. I can’t wait for the rest of the show!"Prince Albert sent time visiting all the stands including the 100% electric yacht by X Shore before descending into the Espace Diaghilev to present no less than six world premieres.Zacaria SC, the first ever road-worthy Formula 1 is a unique model manufactured by Zacaria, an Australian workshop. Also, from Australia, Ferox unveiled its’ Azaris, a hybrid laboratory vehicle equipped with six wheels, the back four having no axes and therefore be able to ride over the rough terrain better than any existing vehicle. With a torque similar to that of a Lamborghini Aventador, it can achieve high speeds over any terrain. The e-bike company Stajvelo presented its Beau Rivage, unveiled by S.A.S. Prince Albert II and Thierry Manni, the CEO of the new brand of electric bikes ‘Made in Monaco’.On the two-wheel side, L’Atelier du Gentleman presented the Carbon Zero world premiere, also unveiled by the Sovereign.The iconic British manufacturer McLaren presented it brand new model, the Grand Tourer, in a world premiere.Aston Martin also unveiled a limited edition of its DBS Superleggera, the OHMSS inspired by James Bond On Her Majesty’s Secret Service.  

Restaurants & Clubs 28 Mar 2019

in london / mayfair - claridges next friday 5th

In London / Mayfair - Claridges next Friday 5th from 2pm - if anyone fancies a glass of wine!

Restaurants & Clubs 21 Mar 2019

singeasy by the piano works west end

Hidden away in the fun palace of Piano Works West End where live music and comfort food go hand in hand, a new experience has emerged where the audience takes centre stage... SingEasy by The Piano Works allows the audience to request ther favourite pop, rock and musical theatre songs which the musicians not only play but encourage you to singalong! Waiters are very engaging and also take turns in singing but the energy (and choice of songs) makes this hidden room a hit. Every night comes with a different theme; join them on Mondays for a Musical Theatre Takeover with your favourite West End stars, Tuesday SingEasy Goes Drag and Wednesday SingEasy Goes to the Movies with sing-along films from Grease to The Greatest Showman. The party doesn’t stop there, with live music that you can sing-along to until 1am. From Thursday to Saturday enjoy the original SingEasy Experience with a mashup of different styles, from 5pm until 1am followed by a DJ until 3am. Dine and dance with a two-course pre-theatre menu from £15 per person or the two-course dinner menu from £21 per person with a bottomless prosecco option for an additional £20pp. The pre-theatre menu features traditional British favourites with a twist including fish and chips, shepherd’s pie, bangers and mash; or dinner options of shrimp tacos, chicken Caesar salad and rib eye steak. Both come with vegan alternatives including tofish and chips and ‘shepherd’s pie’ with puy lentils, chickpeas, chestnut mushrooms and sweet potato. If it’s just drinks that you’re looking for, book your table at SingEasy and enjoy cocktails from their Top 10 list such as the Dancing Queen, with vodka, Chambord, extra dry martini, lemon juice and chickpea water or the Despacito with koko kanu rum, white wine, lychee purée, coconut cream, apple juice and fresh chillies. Overall, this is an experience for a group of friends, hen party or date night. Whatever the excuse, SingEasy will provide soundtrack you'll never forget. The Piano Works47 Whitcomb Street, London, WC2H 7DHhttps://pianoworks.bar/west-end Tel: 0207 889 1966Email: hello@pianoworks-westend.bar

Cars, Boats & Planes 21 Mar 2019

m/y brigadoon finalist in world superyacht awards

Moonen is excited to announce that the 36-metre superyacht Brigadoon has been nominated in the Boat International World Superyacht Awards 2019! Delivered to her new owners in Summer 2018, Brigadoon is the first hull in the Moonen Martinique line of Dutch-quality, oceangoing motor yachts. This years’ awards ceremony will mark the 14th edition of the annual World Superyacht Awards hosted by Boat International and will be held from 16th - 18th May 2019. The annual event will be hosted in London this year, with previous glamorous ceremonies of the high-profile event taking place in Florence, Amsterdam and Venice.  A luxury yacht with heart & soulBrigadoon is the first yacht built on the semi-custom Martinique 36-metre platform and features naval architecture by Diana Yacht Design in collaboration with Réne Van Der Velden, with the latter also undertaking her exterior design. Nauta Design undertook her interior design together with Studio Indigo, who was responsible for the interior styling and decoration. The Moonen Martinique is one of four of Moonen’s proven superyacht platforms and combines proven performance and seakeeping abilities with the versatility of customisation. Talking of the creation of Brigadoon in close cooperation with her experienced yacht owners, CEO of Moonen Yachts, Johan Dubbelman, explains: “In the case of Brigadoon, the owners entered the construction process just three months before scheduled delivery. As such, the level of customisation possible was relatively limited. However, working tirelessly with the owner and his team, a number of significant modifications were able to be applied - including replacing the bimini on the sun deck with a hard top and removing the Jacuzzi.” The Moonen team worked closely with the London-based designers at Studio Indigo in these last three months to ensure the perfect interior design. “Combined with fantastic interior styling, the finishing touch from the owners together with Studio Indigo really gave the boat heart and soul,” Dubbelman continues. “We delivered a vessel that suits the owners perfectly and we’re honoured and delighted to be recognised for our work on M/Y Brigadoon as a finalist at the upcoming World Superyacht Awards 2019.” In regards to her technical features, Brigadoon’s hull is constructed from high-tensile steel and is teamed with an aluminium superstructure. With a focus on comfortable cruising and technical efficiency, she features a reduced construction weight which leads to higher speeds, lower fuel consumption and exceptionally low noise reduction levels.  She achieved more than 16.5 knots on sea trials - an exceptional feat for a 36-metre steel-hulled yacht! World Superyacht Awards 2019The annual recognition of excellence in the yachting industry, the Boat International World Superyacht Awards are a celebration of the best of the best in the world of luxury yacht construction, design and engineering. Moonen’s 36-metre motor yacht Brigadoon is nominated for best yacht in the semi-displacement or planing motor yachts - 33m to 39.9m category. The whole team at Moonen Yachts is excited to be a finalist and looks forward to attending the Boat International World Superyacht Awards 2019 in May. 

News, Media & Society 13 Mar 2019

documentary on entrepreneur

Dear All,I hope this finds you well.I am co producing a documentary that will be featured on Amazon and other VOD platforms on how an entrepreneur turned an idea into a successful business.There are also opportunities available for product placement.If you would like more info or be  featured, please can you send me an email to timi@4s-events.com,Thank you,Kind regards,Timi   

Business 08 Mar 2019

market viewpoints: a g-2 world beckons

By: Manish SinghCrossbridge Capital LLP Chimerica: A G-2 world beckons The Chinese economy of today is a far cry from the days of Chairman Mao Zedong and the “Great Leap Forward” – his second Five Year Plan which lasted from 1958 to 1963 – and proved a complete disaster for China. It left millions of people dead and many more miserable for decades to come. Frank Dikötter a Dutch historian in his excellent book – “The Cultural Revolution: A People’s History, 1962–1976” – has painstakingly gone through the Chinese Communist Party’s own record and declassified letters of complaint, secret police reports, statistics, surveys and other archived papers, to draw the picture of misery that China was in the 1960s. By Dikötter’s count, the Cultural Revolution – formally the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution from 1966 until 1976 – left 45 million dead as Mao forced peasants off their land on to co-operative farms and mindless industrial projects. Mao wanted to lift Chinese steel production by putting the whole nation to work at over 600,000 backyard blast furnaces. Instead, he got famine and tens of millions dead. Mao had been warned by then Soviet Union leader, Nikita Khrushchev, that China’s course to industrialisation risked a famine. Khrushchev knew it from his own knowledge of Josef Stalin’s reckless ambition for industrial power that unleashed a famine in Russia in 1932-33 and killed up to five million in Ukraine, a country land rich and fertile for agriculture. Today however, China is the world’s second-largest economy using its wealth to build “colonies” around the world and the only real challenger to US hegemony. This miraculous turnaround achieved in just over 40 years – beginning with the “reform and opening up” of China in 1979 – has led to multiple years of double-digit growth (see chart below). At a time when American prestige is fading and China’s status is rising and as the US and China work to find a mutually acceptable trade deal and negotiate as equals, it is difficult to imagine how unequal the two nations were in 1979 – the year of the big reforms in China – let alone in 1949 when Mao established the People’s Republic of China (PRC). In 1979 China’s GDP stood at $178bn and was 6% of US GDP. Today, China’s GDP is 63% of US GDP ( chart below). The history of US-China relations is a fascinating read and China has gone from being a pariah state to the US in 1949 to its most important trade relationship in the world. So much so that we are heading into a G-2 world where China and the US will make rules for the rest of the world to follow. Europe is the big loser in all this and only has itself to blame – no structural reforms, low growth, high unemployment and an over-reliance on exports and not domestic demand. Feb. 28th, 2018.

Business 19 Feb 2019

going global

FOUR speaks to Dr. Juerg Steffen, the CEO of the Henley & Partners Group, about the ins and outs of residence and citizenship planning – and how Henley & Partners became the global leaders in this field. Can you tell us a bit about your background, and how you got into your current role?My background is in private banking, with more than 25 years’ experience in this area. I hold a PhD degree in Law and have served as a director of leading private banks in Switzerland and Austria. After joining Henley & Partners, I built up the South East Asia region and worked as Group Chief Operating Officer for a number of years. Now I am delighted to step into my new role as the firm’s CEO. What exactly are the services that Henley & Partners offers, for those that don’t know about the company?We broadly offer two services.We are the industry leader in residence and citizenship planning, providing our clients with an A–Z service that includes real estate acquisition and property management. Alongside our private client business, we are also the preeminent advisor to sovereign states as regards the design and operational development of investment migration programs. Our government advisory practice has raised more than USD 8 billion in foreign direct investment for countries around the world.Because we have been involved in the design, set-up, and operation of the world’s most successful residence and citizenship programs, we understand the application processes for different programs on a very deep level — including the stringent due diligence procedures. For all these reasons, we are extremely well positioned to serve those interested in residence- and citizenship-by-investment, and to advise any sovereign state considering adding an investment migration option to its foreign direct investment strategy. What do you think has led to the increase in high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) in recent years?There are an estimated 18.2 million high-net-worth individuals on the planet, and their collective wealth now sits at over USD 70 trillion. These remarkable numbers are expected to grow continually over the coming years. There are a number of potential reasons for this increase, including the fact that HNWIs are now found all over the world, whereas previously, wealth was concentrated in western markets and in countries of so-called ‘old money’. The rise of emerging markets in the Far East and Middle East, as well as in South America, has created a new class of HNWIs and led to a global increase in wealth. How and why does this affect wealth migration?The majority of millionaires relocate via dual citizenship, work transfers, spousal and family visas, as they have always done. However, the emergence of residence- and citizenship-by-investment programs over the past decade is having a growing impact on global wealth migration trends. Investment migration differs from other forms of migration in that individuals are required to make a significant economic contribution to the host country before they are admitted, as a sort of upfront demonstration of their commitment to the country’s prosperity and wellbeing. In exchange for this extraordinary contribution, individuals obtain either residence or citizenship rights in that country, as the case may be.Because these programs represent such a clear ‘win–win’ both for the countries administering them and for the individuals participating in them, their popularity is growing dramatically, and we expect this to continue. What are the effects of investment migration?Offering citizenship in return for investment is mutually beneficial for both successful applicants and the destination countries they choose. The inflows of funds from citizenship programs are considerable, and the macroeconomic implications for most sectors can be extensive. For receiving countries, wealth migration is a sustainable form of foreign direct investment. Just like traditional foreign direct investment, wealth migration increases the value of the receiving state, bringing in capital to both the public sector — in the form of donations to the government, tax payments, or treasury bond investments — and the private sector — in the form of investments in businesses, start-ups, or real estate.For HNWIs, a second or third passport grants holders the right to travel, trade, and settle in an expanded set of countries and regions, as well as access to all the benefits enjoyed by other citizens of the state in question (education, health care, voting rights, and so on). It also eliminates a great deal of the inconvenience and waiting time surrounding visa applications and passport renewal or replacement processes. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, an additional passport can quite literally save a person’s life in times of political unrest, civil war, and terrorism, or in other delicate political situations. Where do you see most of the HNWIs moving from and migrating to? – And why?For the third year running, Australia has been the most attractive migration destination for high-net-worth individuals: about 10,000 millionaires migrated there last year, mostly from China, India, and the UK. Experts have proposed a range of reasons for this, including lifestyle opportunities, political stability, proximity to Asian business markets, and relative safety for women.After Australia, the US, Canada, and the UAE continue to attract significant numbers of HNWIs, while Malta, Cyprus, Portugal, and Spain are also seen as highly appealing destinations for wealthy individuals in search of increased freedom and mobility. How great is the number of individuals who gain citizenship in a country through financial investment, but do not reside there? And how does this affect global wealth trends?The specific details about where HNWIs choose to reside and for how long is not information that is publicly available. However, it is safe to assume that beneficiaries of citizenship-by-investment are global citizens who often have multiple places of residence and do not see themselves as being tied to a single jurisdiction. It is also important to remember that the number of residence-by-investment programs far outstrips the number of citizenship-by-investment programs. What’s next or what do you predict for future wealth trends?Global citizenship is now an indispensable asset for wealthy individuals seeking to grow their business and increase opportunities for their family in today’s entirely globalized economy. In 2018, more than a third of global ultra-high-net-worth individuals hold an alternative passport, and another 29% are planning to obtain one.In general, we anticipate that overall demand for a second passport among wealthy individuals will continue to increase in 2019. More specifically, countries with residence- and citizenship-by-investment programs now account for about one in five wealthy individual migrations, and the ever-growing popularity of these programs indicates that they will continue to shape overall wealth migration trends.We also believe this demand will be met by increased supply. Sovereign states around the world are seeing the strategic value of investment migration over and above a non-debt baring liquidity injection. Many sovereign states understand that investment migration programs act as a remarkably successful FDI marketing platform that can attract capital and skills to an economy, thereby creating opportunity for all citizens. Want to know more? Head to Henley & Partners to read up further about their services.

Business 14 Feb 2019

deal, no deal or second referendum?

Deal, No Deal or Second referendum? Aricle By:Manish Singh, CFAChief Investment OfficerCrossbridge Capital LLPJanuary, 21th, 2019.Last week, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer the head of the ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party in Germany and the likely next Chancellor, as well as over two dozen other German luminaries from the fields of politics, art, industry and sport issued a plea to the UK to change its mind and stay in the European Union (EU). The letter published in The Times of London marks a significant shift in Berlin’s tone. It talks about the role of Britain – “we realise that the freedom we enjoy as Europeans today has in many ways been built and defended by the British people” and its continued importance to Europe’s future – “Without your great nation, this continent would not be what it is today: a community defined by freedom and prosperity.” And goes on to implore –“We would miss Britain as part of the European Union, especially in these troubled times. Therefore, Britons should know: from the bottom of our hearts, we want them to stay.”A bit too late in the day, I’d say. Where were these good people before the referendum in 2016? That was the time for the esteemed leaders of the EU to give then UK Prime Minister David Cameron a worthy deal that he could sell to the British people. Instead, they gave him a bag of crisp hot Brussels air which Cameron tried to present to the British voters as a “great win,” and was repudiated. The realisation is dawning on many in the EU that a No Deal Brexit would hit the EU very hard and is therefore an undesirable outcome.  After hoping and wrongly presuming that the UK would cancel Brexit (a ludicrous thought that only highlights the gulf in understanding between the UK and the Continent), it is only now – after being convinced of the likelihood of collateral damage in its own country – that Germany is taking a more conciliatory approach. The realisation is finally dawning on many in Europe that a No Deal Brexit would hit the EU very hard and is therefore an undesirable outcome.Anyone with any interest in Germany and the EU and where they’re headed, would be well served to read the masterful analysis of the topic in the book Berlin Rules: Europe and the German Way. It is written by Sir Paul Lever, former British Ambassador to Germany and a senior member of the European Commission in Brussels who attended all European Council meetings from February 1979-85. In its institutional form, he suggests that the EU looks and “will continue to look like Germany” and that its “leadership of the EU is geared principally to the defence of German national interests.” His conclusion is that Germany will prevent the creation of the “all-powerful European super-state that ” and in 20 years’ time many (Brits) will have forgotten Britain was ever a member of the EU to make them regret their choice” and “others… may wonder what all the fuss was about.” I recommend the book highly.Last week also saw UK Prime Minister Theresa May suffer the largest parliamentary defeat in British political history, as the House of Commons rejected her Deal on Europe by 432 to 202 votes. By any yardstick, the defeat that May suffered is entirely of her own making. Tin-eared, distant, and reticent don’t even begin to define the approach she took to agreeing a “Withdrawal Agreement” with an intransigent EU. May couldn’t persuade a starving man to eat with the approach she has taken thus far. Tories must fear a terrible drubbing at the elections, if May continues as PM. Thankfully, she has promised she won’t lead the Tories into the next election. So, what’s next?To those who say “No Deal” is off the table or Brexit could be cancelled, I say this – No deal is not “on the table” but it is in the Statute Books. The European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 was passed through both Houses of Parliament and became law by Royal Assent on 26 June 2018. 498 of 650 MPs voted to trigger Article 50 i.e. a clear and overwhelming commitment to leave the EU. Over 80% of MPs subsequently were re-elected in 2017 on manifestos pledging to implement Brexit. Legally, in the absence of an agreed deal, the UK, therefore, will leave with “No Deal” on March 29, unless the Article 50 deadline is extended by the mutual agreement of the EU and the UK. A No Deal, however, doesn’t mean “crashing out” as some like to fear monger. It just means agreeing a set of side deals and a temporary return to WTO rules for trading, until new trade deals and arrangements are worked out between both parties.As I said on Bloomberg TV last week- I still believe that the UK will leave the EU with a deal. An extension of Article 50 is likely to give enough time to conclude a deal. There will be a transition period in which the UK will be part of the customs union and at the end of the transition period, the EU and the UK will move on to a Free Trade Agreement (FTA). As far as the UK is concerned the “freedom of movement” of workers is a red line and will not be up for negotiation. The EU doesn’t want a No Deal scenario. Nor does the UK for that matter. A No Deal would be very inconvenient for the UK in the short term, as details of new arrangements are worked out, but it would be a growing tragedy for the EU to lose a nation it has a big trade deficit with. Besides a No Deal at, minimum, means: Immediate halt to the £39 billion “divorce payment” to the EUNo further annual contributions of £13 billion to the EU budgetThe EU’s entire exports to the UK – £341 billion last year would be put at riskA severe macroeconomic calamity for IrelandThis, at a time when the economic woes of Germany (the driver of the EU 27) are growing as it is hit by weaker exports to China and elsewhere, as well as softer demand at home. A German slowdown is already ringing alarm bells in Brussels and at the European Central Bank (ECB). Weaker German growth is very bad news for the rest of the European continent, where many economies are linked to the demands of the German export machine and German consumers. For instance, Germany is France and Italy’s top export destination with 15% of total French exports and 12.5% of total Italian exports going to Germany. A slowdown in Germany would hit France and Italy hard. The possibility of a No Deal or messy Brexit, populism and unrest in France, mounting US protectionism and the slowdown in China all are major headwinds for Germany and the Eurozone. China is Germany’s largest trading partner ahead of the US. If that’s not enough, cast your mind back to last July and the Trump-Juncker conference that temporarily diffused the risk of damaging tariffs on EU auto exports to the US, in return for the EU pledging to work to achieve “zero tariffs, zero non-tariff barriers, and zero subsidies on non-auto industrial goods.” Fast forward 6 months, and the EU is now being accused by US officials of dragging its feet on trade talks in the hopes of waiting out the Trump administration. It won’t end well if you know what Trump is like. President Donald Trump is about to conclude a trade deal with China. With the Mexico-Canada and China deals completed, all efforts and urgency will go into taking on what Trump likes to call the EU’s “unfair trade deal” with the US that “robs” the US and treats it like a “piggy bank”. Expect fireworks soon. I see a second referendum as the least likely outcome. A general election is more likely than a second referendum. We know that the country is divided roughly down the middle – half favouring Leave and half favouring Remain. A new referendum will only frustrate those who voted to leave and waste valuable time and resources. Even if there were a second referendum, in my opinion, Leave is likely to win again. In a tweet, Robbie Gibb, Director of Communication at 10 Downing Street reminded us as much – “1.9 million Leave voters say they would now vote to Remain. But 2.4 million Remain voters would now vote to Leave. The country hasn’t changed its mind.” Remember also that the voters were told the Brexit referendum was a “once in a lifetime vote” and 3 years is not a lifetime by any stretch of the imagination. For many in the UK – whether Remainer or Brexiteer, a second vote amounts to a violation of democracy. As for GBP/USD, the UK economic data on a relative basis is getting better and the US is unlikely to raise rates until the summer given concern about the economic slowdown in the US. Therefore I see GBP/USD getting to 1.32 by June, creeping up to 1.36 or higher by September and 1.40 or higher next year. Link to the newsletter: https://www.crossbridgeconnect.com/january-2019-market-viewpoints/ --------------------------------------------------Manish Singh, CFAChief Investment OfficerCrossbridge Capital LLP9 South StreetLondon W1K 2XA

Other 24 Jan 2019

the 2019 henley & partners global mobility report

The 2019 Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility ReportThe 2019 Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility Report is a unique publication that brings together commentary from leading scholars and professional experts on the major trends shaping global and regional mobility patterns today.In addition, the report features fresh analysis of the latest developments on the Henley Passport Index, original scholarly research into the relationship between democracy and travel freedom, and on-the-ground insights into the future of migration technology.Download the 2019 Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility Reporthttps://www.henleyglobal.com/files/download/HPI2019/HPI%20Global%20Mobility%20Report_Final_190104.pdf